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LoL: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Which venue prices "LoL: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Game 2 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Odd/Even Total Kills 100% First Blood in Game 2? 100% Volume: $2.2M Liquidity: $1.8M Closes: 23 Aug 2026
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LoL: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 2 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Odd/Even Total Kills100%
First Blood in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2?100%
Odd/Even Total Kills99%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor45%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon45%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors45%
Any Player Quadra Kill45%
Any Player Penta Kill45%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 2?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 2?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?1%
Game 1 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)0%
Odd/Even Total Kills0%
First Blood in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?0%
Game Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, lol: edward gaming vs jd gaming (bo3) - lpl group ascend stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the LoL match between EDward Gaming and JD Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to…

Methodology

This page compares LoL: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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