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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

NRFI 100% O/U 8.5 100% 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 100% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 100% Volume: $834K Liquidity: $590K Closes: 27 Jul 2026
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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
NRFI100%
O/U 8.5100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5100%
O/U 7.5100%
O/U 6.5100%
O/U 10.5100%
O/U 11.5100%
O/U 12.5100%
O/U 13.596%
Spread -1.578%
O/U 14.576%
Spread -2.565%
O/U 15.563%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.552%
O/U 16.552%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.551%
O/U 17.551%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.550%
O/U 19.550%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.549%
Extra Innings49%
Spread -3.545%
O/U 18.540%
Spread -4.531%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees9%
Spread -1.55%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, pittsburgh pirates vs. new york yankees stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and New York Yankees, scheduled for July 20 at 7:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburg…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices NRFI at 100% for "Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees".

NRFI 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $834K.

Methodology

This page compares Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
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Related Topics

Sports