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Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees

Which venue prices "Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees 100% O/U 6.5 100% 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 100% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 100% Volume: $1.4M Liquidity: $2.6M Closes: 15 Oct 2026
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Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees100%
O/U 6.5100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5100%
Tampa Bay Rays O/U 1.5100%
Tampa Bay Rays O/U 2.5100%
Tampa Bay Rays O/U 3.5100%
New York Yankees O/U 2.5100%
O/U 5.5100%
NRFI0%
Spread -1.50%
O/U 7.50%
Spread -2.50%
Spread -1.50%
Spread -2.50%
O/U 8.50%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.50%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.50%
Extra Innings0%
Tampa Bay Rays O/U 4.50%
Tampa Bay Rays O/U 5.50%
New York Yankees O/U 3.50%
New York Yankees O/U 4.50%
New York Yankees O/U 5.50%
New York Yankees O/U 6.50%
O/U 10.50%
O/U 9.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to tampa bay rays vs. new york yankees. In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and New York Yankees, scheduled for October 7 at 3:33AM ET: This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. This …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees at 100% for "Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees".

Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $1.4M.

Methodology

This page compares Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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Related Topics

Sports