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Magic vs. Kings

Which venue prices "Magic vs. Kings" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

O/U 195.5 96% O/U 193.5 96% O/U 197.5 94% 1H O/U 98.5 93% Volume: $66K Liquidity: $2.0M Closes: 11 Nov 2026
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Magic vs. Kings

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
96% 4% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
96% 4% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 195.596%
O/U 193.596%
O/U 197.594%
1H O/U 98.593%
O/U 199.592%
1H O/U 100.592%
O/U 201.590%
O/U 203.587%
O/U 205.585%
Jase Richardson: Points O/U 4.584%
1H O/U 102.584%
1H O/U 104.583%
O/U 207.582%
1H O/U 108.580%
1H O/U 106.580%
O/U 209.578%
Anthony Black: Points O/U 9.578%
Anthony Black: Assists O/U 1.578%
Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 9.577%
O/U 211.574%
Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 1.573%
Jase Richardson: Assists O/U 1.573%
O/U 213.571%
Anthony Black: Rebounds O/U 1.571%
De'Andre Hunter: Points O/U 9.571%
De'Andre Hunter: Rebounds O/U 1.571%
Desmond Bane: Assists O/U 1.571%
Darius Acuff Jr.: Points O/U 19.570%
Jase Richardson: Rebounds O/U 1.570%
Magic vs. Kings69%
Jamal Cain: Points O/U 4.569%
Zach LaVine: Points O/U 9.569%
Zach LaVine: Points O/U 14.569%
Tristan da Silva: Rebounds O/U 1.569%
Darius Acuff Jr.: Assists O/U 5.569%
Zach LaVine: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.569%
Darius Acuff Jr.: Points O/U 14.568%
O/U 215.567%
Spread -1.566%
De'Andre Hunter: Rebounds O/U 3.566%
Jamal Cain: Rebounds O/U 1.566%
Darius Acuff Jr.: Assists O/U 3.566%
Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 5.566%
Anthony Black: Rebounds O/U 3.565%
Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.565%
Desmond Bane: Points O/U 14.564%
Darius Acuff Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.564%
Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 3.564%
O/U 217.563%
Spread -2.563%
1H Moneyline63%
Franz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 3.562%
1H O/U 110.562%
Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.561%
Spread -3.560%
Zach LaVine: Rebounds O/U 1.560%
1H Spread -0.560%
O/U 219.559%
1Q O/U 55.559%
Magic O/U 112.559%
1Q O/U 51.559%
Kings O/U 106.558%
Desmond Bane: Points O/U 9.557%
Franz Wagner: Points O/U 19.557%
O/U 221.556%
Spread -4.556%
Franz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 5.556%
Zach LaVine: Assists O/U 1.556%
Wendell Carter Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.556%
1H O/U 112.556%
Kings O/U 102.556%
Kings O/U 100.556%
Kings O/U 98.556%
Kings O/U 96.556%
Tristan da Silva: Points O/U 9.555%
Magic O/U 110.555%
1Q O/U 49.555%
1Q O/U 47.555%
Magic O/U 102.555%
Spread -5.554%
De'Andre Hunter: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.554%
1H Spread -2.554%
2Q O/U 54.554%
1Q O/U 53.554%
2Q O/U 52.554%
Kings O/U 104.554%
Kings 1H O/U 51.554%
Magic 1H O/U 54.554%
Magic O/U 108.554%
Magic O/U 106.554%
Magic O/U 104.554%
1Q O/U 45.554%
O/U 222.553%
Kings 1H O/U 53.553%
Magic 1H O/U 56.553%
Darius Acuff Jr.: Points O/U 9.552%
Franz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 1.552%
Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.552%
Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.552%
Darius Acuff Jr.: Assists O/U 1.552%
Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 1.552%
Darius Acuff Jr.: Points O/U 24.551%
Franz Wagner: Points O/U 9.551%
1Q Spread -1.551%
2Q Spread -1.551%
2Q O/U 56.551%
Kings O/U 108.551%
Magic 1H O/U 58.551%
Team to Score First51%
Spread -6.550%
Desmond Bane: Points O/U 19.550%
1Q O/U 57.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q O/U 54.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q O/U 52.550%
Magic O/U 114.550%
Kings 1H O/U 55.550%
Odd/Even Score50%
Overtime?50%
Race to 1050%
Race to 2050%
Race to 3050%
2Q Spread -3.550%
3Q Spread -3.550%
3Q O/U 52.550%
4Q Spread -3.550%
4Q O/U 50.550%
3Q Spread -0.550%
3Q O/U 56.550%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q O/U 54.550%
1Q Spread -5.550%
2Q Spread -5.550%
3Q Spread -5.550%
3Q O/U 50.550%
4Q Spread -5.550%
1Q Spread -2.550%
2Q Spread -2.550%
3Q Spread -2.550%
3Q O/U 58.550%
4Q Spread -2.550%
1Q Spread -7.550%
3Q Spread -7.550%
3Q O/U 48.550%
1Q Spread -4.550%
3Q Spread -4.550%
3Q O/U 60.550%
4Q O/U 53.550%
O/U 223.549%
Franz Wagner: Points O/U 14.549%
Darius Acuff Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.549%
Zach LaVine: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.549%
Darius Acuff Jr.: Steals O/U 0.549%
1H O/U 114.549%
Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 7.548%
Wendell Carter Jr.: Assists O/U 1.548%
De'Andre Hunter: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.548%
Desmond Bane: Steals O/U 0.548%
Zach LaVine: Points O/U 19.547%
De'Andre Hunter: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.547%
2Q O/U 58.547%
Kings 1H O/U 57.547%
Magic 1H O/U 60.547%
1Q O/U 61.547%
2Q O/U 60.547%
Magic O/U 118.547%
Kings 1H O/U 59.547%
Magic 1H O/U 62.547%
1Q O/U 63.547%
Magic O/U 120.547%
1Q O/U 67.547%
Kings O/U 112.546%
Magic O/U 122.546%
Magic O/U 124.546%
Spread -7.545%
O/U 225.545%
Darius Acuff Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.545%
1H Spread -4.545%
Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 3.544%
Anthony Black: Assists O/U 3.544%
Kings O/U 110.544%
1Q O/U 69.544%
Kings O/U 120.544%
Magic O/U 126.544%
Darius Acuff Jr.: Points O/U 23.543%
Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 24.543%
Darius Acuff Jr.: Assists O/U 7.543%
Anthony Black: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.543%
1H O/U 116.543%
Magic O/U 116.543%
1Q O/U 65.543%
Spread -8.542%
Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 14.542%
Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 9.542%
Desmond Bane: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.542%
Kings O/U 114.542%
O/U 227.541%
Darius Acuff Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.541%
1Q Spread -3.541%
Franz Wagner: Points O/U 24.540%
Jase Richardson: Points O/U 9.540%
Anthony Black: Steals O/U 0.540%
1Q O/U 59.540%
2Q Spread -0.540%
Spread -9.539%
Anthony Black: Rebounds O/U 4.539%
Zach LaVine: Rebounds O/U 3.539%
Darius Acuff Jr.: Assists O/U 6.539%
Franz Wagner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.539%
Franz Wagner: Steals O/U 0.539%
Jamal Cain: Rebounds O/U 3.538%
1Q Spread -0.538%
Desmond Bane: Assists O/U 2.537%
Desmond Bane: Assists O/U 3.537%
Jase Richardson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.537%
1H Spread -6.537%
O/U 229.536%
Anthony Black: Assists O/U 4.536%
De'Andre Hunter: Points O/U 14.536%
Kings O/U 118.536%
Spread -10.535%
1H O/U 118.535%
Kings O/U 116.535%
Anthony Black: Points O/U 14.534%
Anthony Black: Assists O/U 5.534%
Desmond Bane: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.534%
Spread -11.533%
O/U 231.532%
Zach LaVine: Assists O/U 2.532%
Darius Acuff Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.532%
1H Spread -1.532%
Anthony Black: Points O/U 16.531%
Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 8.531%
Darius Acuff Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.531%
Spread -12.530%
Franz Wagner: Points O/U 23.530%
Franz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 6.530%
Jamal Cain: Points O/U 9.530%
Spread -1.529%
Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 4.529%
Anthony Black: Rebounds O/U 5.529%
Anthony Black: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.529%
O/U 233.528%
Tristan da Silva: Rebounds O/U 3.528%
Darius Acuff Jr.: Points O/U 29.527%
De'Andre Hunter: Rebounds O/U 5.527%
Jase Richardson: Rebounds O/U 3.527%
Anthony Black: Steals O/U 1.527%
Jase Richardson: Assists O/U 3.526%
Zach LaVine: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.526%
1H Spread -8.526%
1H Spread -3.526%
1H Spread -10.526%
1H Spread -5.526%
Spread -14.525%
Spread -3.525%
Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 12.525%
Desmond Bane: Points O/U 24.525%
Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 9.525%
O/U 235.524%
Domantas Sabonis: Points O/U 13.524%
Wendell Carter Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.524%
Franz Wagner: Steals O/U 1.524%
Anthony Black: Points O/U 19.523%
Franz Wagner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.523%
Tristan da Silva: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.523%
Desmond Bane: Steals O/U 1.523%
Tristan da Silva: Steals O/U 0.523%
Domantas Sabonis: Assists O/U 5.522%
Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 5.522%
Franz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 7.522%
Tristan da Silva: Rebounds O/U 5.522%
O/U 237.521%
Desmond Bane: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.521%
Jase Richardson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.521%
Tristan da Silva: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.521%
Darius Acuff Jr.: Steals O/U 1.521%
1H O/U 120.521%
Spread -16.520%
Tristan da Silva: Points O/U 14.520%
Jamal Cain: Rebounds O/U 5.520%
Zach LaVine: Assists O/U 3.520%
Tristan da Silva: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.520%
Tristan da Silva: Steals O/U 2.520%
Spread -5.519%
Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 11.519%
1H O/U 122.519%
O/U 239.518%
1H Spread -12.518%
Tristan da Silva: Points O/U 19.517%
Zach LaVine: Points O/U 24.517%
Anthony Black: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.517%
Spread -18.516%
Spread -7.516%
Franz Wagner: Points O/U 29.516%
Darius Acuff Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.516%
Tristan da Silva: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.516%
Zach LaVine: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.516%
O/U 241.515%
Darius Acuff Jr.: Assists O/U 9.515%
Desmond Bane: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.514%
Anthony Black: Steals O/U 2.514%
1H Spread -7.514%
1H O/U 124.514%
Spread -20.513%
O/U 243.513%
Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 19.513%
Jase Richardson: Assists O/U 5.513%
Tristan da Silva: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.513%
Franz Wagner: Steals O/U 2.513%
Spread -9.512%
Darius Acuff Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.512%
Franz Wagner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.512%
Desmond Bane: Steals O/U 2.512%
Wendell Carter Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.512%
O/U 245.511%
Zach LaVine: Rebounds O/U 5.511%
Anthony Black: Assists O/U 7.511%
Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 11.511%
Wendell Carter Jr.: Assists O/U 3.511%
Jase Richardson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.511%
Tristan da Silva: Steals O/U 1.511%
1H Spread -14.511%
Darius Acuff Jr.: Points O/U 34.510%
Anthony Black: Rebounds O/U 7.510%
Franz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 9.510%
De'Andre Hunter: Points O/U 19.510%
Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 15.510%
De'Andre Hunter: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.510%
Anthony Black: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.510%
1H Spread -9.510%
1H O/U 126.510%
Spread -22.59%
Spread -11.59%
O/U 247.59%
Anthony Black: Points O/U 24.59%
Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 9.59%
Jase Richardson: Points O/U 14.59%
De'Andre Hunter: Rebounds O/U 7.59%
Tristan da Silva: Rebounds O/U 9.59%
Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 13.59%
Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 15.59%
Desmond Bane: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.59%
Zach LaVine: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.59%
Darius Acuff Jr.: Steals O/U 2.59%
1H Spread -11.59%
1H O/U 128.59%
Desmond Bane: Points O/U 29.58%
Anthony Black: Rebounds O/U 9.58%
Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 13.58%
Wendell Carter Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.58%
1H Spread -16.58%
Spread -24.57%
Spread -26.57%
Spread -13.57%
Spread -15.57%
O/U 249.57%
Spread -17.57%
Darius Acuff Jr.: Points O/U 39.57%
Franz Wagner: Points O/U 39.57%
Franz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 11.57%
De'Andre Hunter: Points O/U 24.57%
Tristan da Silva: Points O/U 24.57%
Zach LaVine: Points O/U 29.57%
Anthony Black: Assists O/U 9.57%
Desmond Bane: Assists O/U 5.57%
Franz Wagner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.57%
De'Andre Hunter: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.57%
1H Spread -18.57%
1H O/U 130.57%
Franz Wagner: Points O/U 34.56%
Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 7.56%
Jamal Cain: Points O/U 14.56%
De'Andre Hunter: Rebounds O/U 9.56%
Tristan da Silva: Rebounds O/U 7.56%
Jase Richardson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.56%
1H Spread -13.56%
Spread -30.55%
Spread -19.55%
Jase Richardson: Rebounds O/U 5.55%
Darius Acuff Jr.: Assists O/U 11.55%
Anthony Black: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.55%
Zach LaVine: Assists O/U 5.54%
1H Spread -20.54%
1H Spread -15.54%
Spread -28.53%
Spread -34.53%
Spread -21.53%
Spread -32.52%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 96% YES probability for Magic vs. Kings. In the upcoming NBA game between Magic and Kings, originally scheduled for Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Magic win, the ma…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 195.5 at 96% for "Magic vs. Kings".

O/U 195.5 96% Other 4%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $66K.

Methodology

This page compares Magic vs. Kings specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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