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UFC Fight Night: Javad Mahjoub vs. Joel Faglier (Heavyweight, Prelims)

Which venue prices "UFC Fight Night: Javad Mahjoub vs. Joel Faglier (Heavyweight, Prelims)" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Fight won by KO/TKO? 100% Faglier to win by KO/TKO? 100% O/U 0.5 Rounds 100% Ends before Round 3? 100% Volume: $277K Closes: 18 Oct 2026
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UFC Fight Night: Javad Mahjoub vs. Joel Faglier (Heavyweight, Prelims)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Fight won by KO/TKO?100%
Faglier to win by KO/TKO?100%
O/U 0.5 Rounds100%
Ends before Round 3?100%
Faglier in Round 2100%
Javad Mahjoub vs. Joel Faglier0%
Fight to Go the Distance?0%
Mahjoub to win by KO/TKO?0%
Fight won by submission?0%
O/U 1.5 Rounds0%
O/U 2.5 Rounds0%
Fight won by decision?0%
Ends before Round 2?0%
Mahjoub in Round 10%
Mahjoub in Round 20%
Mahjoub in Round 30%
Faglier in Round 10%
Faglier in Round 30%
Decision or Draw0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for UFC Fight Night: Javad Mahjoub vs. Joel Faglier (Heavyweight, Prelims). This market will resolve to "Javad Mahjoub" if Javad Mahjoub is officially declared the winner of the fight against Joel Faglier at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 2026.…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Fight won by KO/TKO? at 100% for "UFC Fight Night: Javad Mahjoub vs. Joel Faglier (Heavyweight, Prelims)".

Fight won by KO/TKO? 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $277K.

Methodology

We read UFC Fight Night: Javad Mahjoub vs. Joel Faglier (Heavyweight, Prelims) from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

Trade UFC Fight Night: Javad Mahjoub vs. Joel Faglier (Hea… on Kalshi Alternative

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Related Topics

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