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UFC Fight Night: Katlyn Cerminara vs. Mackenzie Stiller (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "UFC Fight Night: Katlyn Cerminara vs. Mackenzie Stiller (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

Katlyn Cerminara vs. Mackenzie Stiller 100% Fight won by KO/TKO? 100% Cerminara to win by KO/TKO? 100% O/U 0.5 Rounds 100% Volume: $150K Closes: 18 Oct 2026
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UFC Fight Night: Katlyn Cerminara vs. Mackenzie Stiller (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Katlyn Cerminara vs. Mackenzie Stiller100%
Fight won by KO/TKO?100%
Cerminara to win by KO/TKO?100%
O/U 0.5 Rounds100%
Ends before Round 2?100%
Ends before Round 3?100%
Cerminara in Round 1100%
Fight to Go the Distance?0%
Stiller to win by KO/TKO?0%
Fight won by submission?0%
O/U 1.5 Rounds0%
O/U 2.5 Rounds0%
Fight won by decision?0%
Cerminara in Round 20%
Cerminara in Round 30%
Stiller in Round 10%
Stiller in Round 20%
Stiller in Round 30%
Decision or Draw0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to ufc fight night: katlyn cerminara vs. mackenzie stiller (women's flyweight, prelims). This market will resolve to "Katlyn Cerminara" if Katlyn Cerminara is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mackenzie Stiller at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for Octobe…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Katlyn Cerminara vs. Mackenzie Stiller at 100% for "UFC Fight Night: Katlyn Cerminara vs. Mackenzie Stiller (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)".

Katlyn Cerminara vs. Mackenzie Stiller 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $150K.

Methodology

This page compares UFC Fight Night: Katlyn Cerminara vs. Mackenzie Stiller (Women's Flyweight, Prelims) specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

Trade UFC Fight Night: Katlyn Cerminara vs. Mackenzie Stil… on Kalshi Alternative

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Related Topics

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