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LoL: Sentinels vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

Cross-platform snapshot for "LoL: Sentinels vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Game 1 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Odd/Even Total Kills 100% Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2? 100% Volume: $685K Liquidity: $2.0M Closes: 9 Aug 2026
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LoL: Sentinels vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Odd/Even Total Kills100%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2?99%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon90%
First Blood in Game 1?90%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Match Winner21%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Any Player Quadra Kill10%
Any Player Penta Kill10%
Odd/Even Total Kills1%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 2?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 2?1%
Game 2 Winner0%
Game Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)0%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for LoL: Sentinels vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season. This market refers to the LoL match between Sentinels and Shopify Rebellion in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 8 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Sentinels" if Sentin…

Methodology

This page compares LoL: Sentinels vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
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